Hope For the Best Prepare for the Worst – Smart Money Moves

After lots of money printing and pandemic relief stimulus payments (free money) by the Government over the last few years, things are starting to look more bleak with high inflation, global conflict and rising energy prices.

All these portend to signs of a recession in the not too distant future, if history is any guide.

In order to prepare for a potential recession and limited government support, you must have your finances protected and diversified as much as possible. I am going to tell you how.

First, let’s take a brief look at the last significant recession (not pandemic induced in 2020) which occurred after during the last financial meltdown that started in late 2008.

This meltdown that later turned in to a multi-year recession that was responsible for the loss of property values, 401K balances, and an unemployment rate over 10% in many parts of the country.

The economy eventually improved but those times when America was in a financial tailspin may return sooner than you think if high inflation and a weakening housing sector do now show material improvements.

Can your bank account withstand another recession or more importantly, can your employers?

Despite a higher savings rate over the last few years, statistics show that the bottom 50% of Americans (by income) are largely unprepared and vulnerable to large scale financial changes should something happen.

You want to make sure that you have the financial resources in place to deal with these events.

Start an Emergency Fund

If you lost your job tomorrow due to an adverse financial event that affected your company, how much money would you need to have saved to continue paying all expenses for the foreseeable future? 

Financial advisors vary on how long you should have coverage for in an emergency savings, but the consensus is for at least 6 to 12 months, and the more the better.

Also, remember that the FDIC insurers up to $250,000 per account, so spread your savings in various high yield savings accounts to make sure your emergency (liquid) savings are adequately insured.

Fully Fund Your Retirement

Don’t count on your employer to take care of your retirement fund and social security could very well dry up before you reach the age of retirement so relying on anything other than your good saving habits may keep you working well beyond your retirement age. 

Retirement limits for 401K and IRA accounts are on the rise and those over 50 have the chance to make catch-up contributions on a pre-tax basis. 

So make sure you take full advantage of these accounts, which leverage the power of compounding to grow your nest egg and effectively reduce your marginal tax rate.

Speaking of Retirement

Diversify your retirement fund. A healthy retirement account might seem like enough but what if a Black Swan event. something from left field that causes financial ruin, occurred 6 months before your retirement?

If you’re close to retirement, your funds should be largely allocated towards fixed income instruments like treasury bonds or even a Certificate of Deposit.

However, you don’t want 100% allocated towards such low paying investments but should the unthinkable happen, those parts of your funds that are in a CD or even a savings account will be the most well protected. 

On the other, if rising inflation is a fear during your retirement years then consider TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protection Securities) or a guaranteed annuity

Minimize (and later eliminate) Debt

Like the dentist telling you to floss to prevent future tooth decay, you’ve surely heard this repeatedly but it’s vitally important when it comes to securing your finances.

What if it’s a sudden decline in your health that doesn’t allow you to work? If that happens, you don’t want to have to worry about how you will pay mountains of debt payments.

The reason you don’t want to be in debt is because your future and the future of the global market is a variable that is unknown. Those who aren’t in debt always wake up with a clean slate.

Boring is Best

You may have heard about people who have made a lot of money in the stock market and some of those stories are true. What isn’t largely reported is the amount of time they spend researching and performing other legwork to make that money.

They also have specialized knowledge about the stock market just as you do in your job. For the part time investor, boring is best.

Purchase stock in high quality companies that pay a dividend, or even better, index funds covering the broader stock market for the most diversification.


Not all stocks pay a dividend and if you’re a part time investor you should stay away from those in most cases. A dividend pays you simply to hold on to the stock.

Some companies pay 6% and more each year. Even if your stock temporarily loses value, you can count on the dividend. The other reason to stick with dividend paying stocks is due to the fact that when the stock market experiences a decline, these stocks are normally not as adversely affected as other stocks.

In Conclusion

We always want to assume the best. We believe that tomorrow will be a better day but as we’ve seen in the past few years, being prepared for those darker financial days is vitally important.

Thus, when the good times return (and they will) you will be in position to leverage of your solid financial base and build an even strong financial future.

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